NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street neared a record high ahead of a highly anticipated report on inflation, which could show whether all the excitement that’s vaulted stocks higher recently is warranted. The S&P 500 rose 0.6% Wednesday and is just 0.3% below its all-time high. The Dow added 0.5%, and the Nasdaq composite climbed 0.8%. Treasury yields held relatively steady ahead of Thursday’s update from the U.S. government on inflation at the consumer level. Hopes for a continued cooldown there have sent yields sinking and stocks soaring in recent months. Crude oil prices fell after giving up earlier gains.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street is rising Wednesday in the final trading before an upcoming report on inflation, which could show whether all the excitement that's vaulted stocks higher recently is warranted.
The S&P 500 was 0.7% higher and just 0.2% below its all-time high, with about an hour left in trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 197 points, or 0.5%, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.9% higher.
Intuitive Surgical rose 10.1% after the maker of robotic surgery systems said it expects to report stronger revenue for the end of 2023 than analysts expected. Homebuilder Lennar climbed 3.5% after it said it would send cash to shareholders by increasing its dividend and authorizing a repurchase of up to $5 billion of its own stock.
But the market’s focus is on Thursday, when the U.S. government will release its latest monthly update on inflation at the consumer level. A cooldown there from its peak in the summer of 2022 has raised hopes that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sharply this year. That in turn has sent Treasury yields easing in the bond market and stock prices rallying toward record heights.
Economists expect Thursday’s report to show prices paid by U.S. consumers were 3.2% higher in December than a year earlier, according to FactSet. That would be a slight acceleration from November’s 3.1% inflation rate. But after ignoring the effects of food and fuel prices, which can quickly shift month to month, economists believe underlying inflation trends likely continued to cool.
The Fed has noticed the cooldown in inflation, and it’s hinted at possibly cutting interest rates three times this year. That would be a sharp turnaround after it jacked rates dramatically higher in hopes of slowing the economy and hurting investment prices enough to grind down high inflation.
But many traders are anticipating double that number of rate cuts. Critics say that’s overly optimistic and that the Fed is unlikely to cut so many times unless a recession hits. If Thursday’s inflation data come in warmer than expected, it could upend those hopes and shake the market.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury has already slumped well below its perch above 5% in October on strong hopes for rate cuts. It was holding steady at 4.02% Wednesday, its same level from late Tuesday.
On Wall Street, Boeing's stock stabilized after slumping earlier in the week following the in-flight blowout of one of its planes flying for Alaska Airlines. It rose 1.4%.
WD-40 jumped 14.6% after reporting stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected.
The big companies in the S&P 500 are set to begin reporting their results for the last three months of 2023 on Friday. Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan Chase and UnitedHealth Group will be among that day’s headliners.
Analysts are forecasting just a small handful of stocks to be responsible for most of the S&P 500's growth in the last quarter. But trends are improving a bit, according to strategists at Bank of America. They say 66% of companies are expected to report improvements in profit for the fourth quarter, up from 64% in the third quarter.
“While risks remain, fundamentals are improving and analysts sound more optimistic than they did in” the summer, Ohsung Kwon and Savita Subramanian said in a BofA Global Research report.
Some of Wall Street's heavier losses Wednesday came from stocks of oil-and-gas companies. Exxon Mobil sank 1.1%, and Devon lost 1.7%.
Crude prices fell after giving up gains from earlier in the day. They also had tumbled sharply to start the week. A barrel of benchmark U.S. oil dropped 87 cents to $71.37. Brent crude, the international standard, sank 79 cents to $76.80 per barrel.
In stock markets abroad, Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 gained 2% to hit its highest level since March 1990 as a weaker yen lifted shares of exporters. The yen sank on speculation the Bank of Japan may keep its ultra-lax monetary policies after wages fell for a 20th straight month in November. A weaker yen can boost profits for companies that sell their products in other currencies.
Indexes were mostly lower across Asia and mixed in Europe.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was holding above $46,400 following a wild run that saw its price spike and then tumble a day before. Crypto investors have been excited about the potential for U.S. regulators to allow the trading of exchange-traded funds that hold actual bitcoins, instead of just futures contracts related to them.
Late Wednesday, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s account on X, formerly known as Twitter, said that it had approved such ETFs. Soon after, though, the SEC said no approval had been given and that its account had been compromised.
It’s the latest eye-twitching shenanigan in a corner of the market that SEC Chair Gary Gensler called the “Wild West” in 2021 because it didn’t have enough protections for investors at the time.
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AP Writers Matt Ott and Zimo Zhong contributed.
Stan Choe, The Associated Press
