Poll: Reader survey seems to show movement away from Ontario PCs

The Greens and Liberals gained, and the Progressive Conservatives lost a few points of support, in provincial reader polls run in late April and early May compared to the first ten days of June.  

The PCs lost five points, the Greens and Liberals each gained three, and the NDP was stable. 

The opt-in poll has some geographic distortion baked in, since it favours areas of the province where Village Media has news sites. On a provincewide level, we're looking less at what the numbers are and more at where the movement seems to be leading.  

One area to watch is whether the Ontario Liberal leadership process has an effect on the polls. The party picks a new permanent leader in December. 

Some 11,070 of you participated. 

The poll continues to run, and we will come back to it. 

Here is what the data looks like regionally, only using communities with 60 or more responses.

High levels of support for the Greens in Sault Ste. Marie and Vaughan are probably a distortion in the poll - Greens didn't do unusually well in either community in the last provincial election - but is more believable in Guelph. High Liberal support in Collingwood may also be a distortion, although voters in Collingwood itself are more likely to vote Liberal than Simcoe-Grey as a whole.   

Ottawa, in our poll results, refers to the whole Ottawa megacity.